Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Luan Lacerda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram GymTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Luan LacerdaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.07
55%
Strike defense
48%
1.37
Takedown avg.
1.26
38%
Takedown accuracy
25%
84%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezLuan Lacerda
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (16%)
Submission
11 (85%)
6 (32%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cristian Quiñonez and Luan Lacerda within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1652), separated by just 3 points.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.