Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs David Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight185 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+23→ 1497
If they lose-25→ 1449
David RobertsNow 1462
If they win+17→ 1479
If they lose-15→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraDavid Roberts
1450150020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira68%
David Roberts 32%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 68% favorite over David Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1462), separated by just 12 points.

David Roberts 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.