Cristiano Oliveira vs Eric Castile
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamUndisputed Boxing
What's at stake
Eric Castile is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451
If they win+23→ 1516
If they lose-25→ 1468
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1462 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraEric Castile
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira59%
Eric Castile 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 59% favorite over Eric Castile in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Castile's way (47%).
Eric Castile holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1474, a 19-point edge.
Eric Castile enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Eric Castile 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.