Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Felipe Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record9-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"Reach77,0"
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamCM System

What's at stake

Felipe Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451
Felipe SilvaNow 1493
If they win+15→ 1508
If they lose-17→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraFelipe Silva
15002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira69%
Felipe Silva 31%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 69% favorite over Felipe Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Silva's way (47%).

Felipe Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1474, a 19-point edge.

Felipe Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Felipe Silva 89%.

Felipe Silva carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.