Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs J.C. Cottrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach40.00
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
J.C. CottrellNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraJ.C. Cottrell
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (65%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira72%
J.C. Cottrell 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 72% favorite over J.C. Cottrell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans J.C. Cottrell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1478), separated by just 4 points.

J.C. Cottrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

J.C. Cottrell 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.