Cristiano Oliveira vs Jake Lindsey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record15-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamCombative Sports Center
What's at stake
Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jake Lindsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1494
If they lose-28→ 1446
If they win+18→ 1440
If they lose-14→ 1408
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraJake Lindsey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira78%
Jake Lindsey 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 78% favorite over Jake Lindsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1422, a 52-point edge.
Jake Lindsey enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jake Lindsey 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.