Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Joe Camacho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Camacho
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Joe Camacho

“JC Plentee of Skills”

13-19-3LightweightBFC

1458Average

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record13-19-3
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight150 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamJoe Camacho Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Academy

What's at stake

Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Joe Camacho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+23→ 1497
If they lose-25→ 1449
Joe CamachoNow 1458
If they win+13→ 1471
If they lose-11→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraJoe Camacho
14501500201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira78%
Joe Camacho 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 78% favorite over Joe Camacho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1458, a 16-point edge.

Joe Camacho enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Camacho 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.