Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Johil de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record17-16-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamJohil Team

What's at stake

Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Johil de Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+22→ 1496
If they lose-26→ 1448
Johil de OliveiraNow 1444
If they win+13→ 1457
If they lose-11→ 1433

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraJohil de Oliveira
1450150020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (35%)
1 (50%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira78%
Johil de Oliveira 22%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 78% favorite over Johil de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1444, a 30-point edge.

Johil de Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johil de Oliveira 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.