Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Makkasharip Zaynukov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"ReachN/A
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451
Makkasharip ZaynukovNow 1482
If they win+23→ 1505
If they lose-25→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraMakkasharip Zaynukov
1500202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
1 (50%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira61%
Makkasharip Zaynukov 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 61% favorite over Makkasharip Zaynukov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Makkasharip Zaynukov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1482), separated by just 8 points.

Makkasharip Zaynukov 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.