Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Marlon Sims

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record3-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"HeightTBD
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamShamrock Submission Fight Team

What's at stake

Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marlon Sims carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+23→ 1497
If they lose-25→ 1449
Marlon SimsNow 1457
If they win+25→ 1482
If they lose-23→ 1434

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraMarlon Sims
145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira78%
Marlon Sims 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 78% favorite over Marlon Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1457, a 17-point edge.

Marlon Sims enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marlon Sims 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.