Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Marques Daniels

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamTeam R.O.C.

What's at stake

Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marques Daniels carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+23→ 1497
If they lose-25→ 1449
Marques DanielsNow 1455
If they win+17→ 1472
If they lose-15→ 1440

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraMarques Daniels
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira70%
Marques Daniels 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 70% favorite over Marques Daniels in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1455, a 19-point edge.

Marques Daniels enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marques Daniels 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.