Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Yoislandy Izquierdo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight154 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamYoung Tigers

What's at stake

Cristiano Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Yoislandy Izquierdo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+21→ 1495
If they lose-27→ 1447
Yoislandy IzquierdoNow 1433
If they win+27→ 1460
If they lose-21→ 1412

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
TBD
Strike defense
27%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraYoislandy Izquierdo
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira83%
Yoislandy Izquierdo 17%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 83% favorite over Yoislandy Izquierdo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Cristiano Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1433, a 41-point edge.

Yoislandy Izquierdo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yoislandy Izquierdo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.