Cristiano Oliveira vs Zhang Lipeng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record34-13-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
Zhang Lipeng is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1500
If they lose-22→ 1452
If they win+22→ 1518
If they lose-26→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraZhang Lipeng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira67%
Zhang Lipeng 33%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 67% favorite over Zhang Lipeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zhang Lipeng's way (47%).
Zhang Lipeng holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1474, a 22-point edge.
Zhang Lipeng 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.