Crosley Gracie vs Denis Tiuliulin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamEvolve Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Crosley GracieDenis Tiuliulin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Crosley Gracie58%
Denis Tiuliulin 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Crosley Gracie a 58% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Tiuliulin's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1537), separated by just 4 points.
Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Denis Tiuliulin 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.