Combat Edge Intelligence

Crosley Gracie vs Robert Pukač

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record21-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
180 lbsWeight175 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamOctagon Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Crosley GracieNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Robert PukačNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Crosley GracieRobert Pukač
14501500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (50%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Pukač70%
Crosley Gracie 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Pukač a 70% favorite over Crosley Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1538), separated by just 5 points.

Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Pukač 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.