Combat Edge Intelligence

Da'Mon Blackshear vs Lewis McGrillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-1Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
72"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Da'Mon BlackshearNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Lewis McGrillenNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Da'Mon BlackshearLewis McGrillen
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
11 (65%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (24%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Lewis McGrillen55%
Da'Mon Blackshear 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 55% favorite over Da'Mon Blackshear in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Da'Mon Blackshear's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1687), separated by just 0 points.

Lewis McGrillen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Da'Mon Blackshear finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 91%.

Da'Mon Blackshear carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.