Combat Edge Intelligence

Daijiro Matsui vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-31-7Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FreelanceTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Daijiro Matsui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daijiro MatsuiNow 1424
If they win+13→ 1437
If they lose-11→ 1413
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+14→ 1480
If they lose-18→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daijiro MatsuiOndřej Raška
1450150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (42%)
10 (71%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška72%
Daijiro Matsui 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 72% favorite over Daijiro Matsui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1424, a 42-point edge.

Daijiro Matsui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daijiro Matsui finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.