Combat Edge Intelligence

Daiju Takase vs Matthew O'Rourke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-15-2Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height-
TBDReach-
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
IamITeamTeam Ryano Waterford

What's at stake

Daiju Takase is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matthew O'Rourke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daiju TakaseNow 1492
If they win+11→ 1503
If they lose-13→ 1479
Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
0%
Strike accuracy
TBD
61.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daiju TakaseMatthew O'Rourke
150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew O'Rourke70%
Daiju Takase 30%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 70% favorite over Daiju Takase in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daiju Takase's way (47%).

Daiju Takase holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1471, a 21-point edge.

Daiju Takase enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daiju Takase finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.