Combat Edge Intelligence

Daisuke Sugie vs Dedrek Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-1Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
AliveTeamAnchorage Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daisuke SugieNow 1510
If they win+15→ 1525
If they lose-17→ 1493
Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daisuke SugieDedrek Sanders
145015001550201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (60%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders56%
Daisuke Sugie 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 56% favorite over Daisuke Sugie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daisuke Sugie's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1510 vs 1499), separated by just 11 points.

Daisuke Sugie finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Dedrek Sanders 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.