Dalton Rosta vs Jordan Zébo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach71"
186 lbsWeight173 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaJordan Zébo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta60%
Jordan Zébo 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 60% favorite over Jordan Zébo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Zébo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Zébo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Zébo 33%.
Dalton Rosta carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.