Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalton Rosta vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

9-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1669Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight184 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dalton RostaNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Ryan GandraNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
13.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.70
TBD
Strike defense
81%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dalton RostaRyan Gandra
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (11%)
6 (55%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dalton Rosta and Ryan Gandra within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.

Dalton Rosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.