Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
38%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
51%
Strike defense
51%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0.69
56%
Takedown accuracy
40%
19%
Takedown defense
100%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonKiefer Crosbie
15501600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiefer Crosbie57%
DaMarques Johnson 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 57% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1567), separated by just 5 points.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.