Damian Janikowski vs Josh Bumgarner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
NemesisTeamTeam Peak Performance
What's at stake
Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josh Bumgarner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian JanikowskiJosh Bumgarner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Janikowski70%
Josh Bumgarner 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 70% favorite over Josh Bumgarner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1506, a 15-point edge.
Josh Bumgarner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Josh Bumgarner 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.