Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Nick Nolte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Nolte
us

Nick Nolte

“The Kansas City Head Case”

5-4-0MiddleweightTFC

1520Average

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record5-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
NemesisTeamK2L Grindhouse

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Nick NolteNow 1520
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damian JanikowskiNick Nolte
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (60%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Janikowski63%
Nick Nolte 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 63% favorite over Nick Nolte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1520), separated by just 1 points.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nick Nolte 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.