Damian Janikowski vs Travis Lutter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
NemesisTeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
If they win+25→ 1529
If they lose-23→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian JanikowskiTravis Lutter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Janikowski66%
Travis Lutter 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 66% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1504, a 17-point edge.
Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.