Damian Pinas vs Roger Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamEvolve MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian PinasRoger Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Pinas72%
Roger Gracie 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Pinas a 72% favorite over Roger Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1681), separated by just 3 points.
Damian Pinas enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Roger Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Damian Pinas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Gracie 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.