Damian Rzepecki vs Mark Madsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73.6"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Fit Center Piotrkow TrybunalskiTeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian RzepeckiMark Madsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Rzepecki70%
Mark Madsen 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Rzepecki a 70% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Madsen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1696), separated by just 3 points.
Damian Rzepecki enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Damian Rzepecki finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Mark Madsen 50%.
Damian Rzepecki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.