Combat Edge Intelligence

Damiano Scogna vs Vince Murdock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-1Record11-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach66,0"
146 lbsWeight143 lbs
Aurora MMATeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damiano ScognaNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Vince MurdockNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
22%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.17
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damiano ScognaVince Murdock
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Damiano Scogna84%
Vince Murdock 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damiano Scogna a 84% favorite over Vince Murdock in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vince Murdock's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Vince Murdock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damiano Scogna finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vince Murdock 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.