Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Brown vs Shay Ingram

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shay Ingram

Shay Ingram

“The Fridge”

5-1-0LightweightCWFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamTeam Renegade BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damien BrownNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Shay IngramNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.68
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damien BrownShay Ingram
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
9 (47%)
Submission
1 (20%)
7 (37%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Shay Ingram60%
Damien Brown 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shay Ingram a 60% favorite over Damien Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damien Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shay Ingram 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.