Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Danny Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Danny CastilloNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
48%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
63%
Strike defense
63%
0.78
Takedown avg.
2.95
56%
Takedown accuracy
39%
35%
Takedown defense
64%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićDanny Castillo
16001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
3 (21%)
Submission
3 (18%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Damir Hadžović51%
Danny Castillo 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damir Hadžović a 51% favorite over Danny Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Castillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Danny Castillo 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.