Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Jamie Varner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record21-11-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Jamie VarnerNow 1603
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
63%
Strike defense
59%
0.78
Takedown avg.
3.49
56%
Takedown accuracy
54%
35%
Takedown defense
67%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićJamie Varner
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
3 (21%)
Submission
9 (43%)
4 (29%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damir Hadžović and Jamie Varner within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jamie Varner enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Varner 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.