Dan Argueta vs Mitch Gagnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach65,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTroop MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaMitch Gagnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Argueta52%
Mitch Gagnon 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 52% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Gagnon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Gagnon 92%.
Dan Argueta carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.