Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Christison vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record25-6-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
270 lbsWeight264 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan ChristisonNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
52%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
55%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
3.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Dan ChristisonPhil De Fries
16501700200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
12 (60%)
Submission
14 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil De Fries61%
Dan Christison 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 61% favorite over Dan Christison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Christison enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Dan Christison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.