Dan Hardy vs Josiah Harrell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
74"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamGrove City BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyJosiah Harrell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiah Harrell70%
Dan Hardy 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 70% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.
Dan Hardy carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.