Dan Hooker vs Mateusz Rębecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
75"Reach66"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerMateusz Rębecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dan Hooker and Mateusz Rębecki within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1727), separated by just 2 points.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Rębecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 80%.
Dan Hooker carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.