Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Miller vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MillerNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Ryan GandraNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
13.02
36%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.70
50%
Strike defense
81%
1.67
Takedown avg.
0
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
47%
Takedown defense
100%
1.77
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan MillerRyan Gandra
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
9 (64%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra86%
Dan Miller 14%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 86% favorite over Dan Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Dan Miller finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.