Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Molina vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
216 lbsWeight253 lbs
TBDTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MolinaNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Dan MolinaLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
15001550201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
10 (77%)
Submission
8 (50%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira53%
Dan Molina 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 53% favorite over Dan Molina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Molina enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Molina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.