Combat Edge Intelligence

Dania Ouhachi vs Jose Maria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Maria
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Jose Maria

“No Chance”

41-10-0BantamweightTMB

1463Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record41-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Dania Ouhachi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jose Maria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dania OuhachiNow 1498
If they win+22→ 1520
If they lose-26→ 1472
Jose MariaNow 1463
If they win+26→ 1489
If they lose-22→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.32

Trajectory

Dania OuhachiJose Maria
1450150020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
17 (44%)
1 (100%)
Submission
15 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Dania Ouhachi69%
Jose Maria 31%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Dania Ouhachi a 69% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Dania Ouhachi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1463, a 35-point edge.

Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jose Maria 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.