Combat Edge Intelligence

Dania Ouhachi vs Marcos Vinicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record1-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
TBDTeamZe Mario Team

What's at stake

Dania Ouhachi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Marcos Vinicius carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dania OuhachiNow 1498
If they win+19→ 1517
If they lose-29→ 1469
Marcos ViniciusNow 1429
If they win+29→ 1458
If they lose-19→ 1410

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Dania OuhachiMarcos Vinicius
14501500202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dania Ouhachi70%
Marcos Vinicius 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Dania Ouhachi a 70% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Dania Ouhachi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1429, a 69-point edge.

Marcos Vinicius enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.