Combat Edge Intelligence

Dania Ouhachi vs Nick Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record9-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'4"
-Reach70,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamBlackline MMA

What's at stake

Dania Ouhachi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Nick Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dania OuhachiNow 1498
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473
Nick GarciaNow 1479
If they win+25→ 1504
If they lose-23→ 1456

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.36
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Dania OuhachiNick Garcia
1500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
1 (100%)
Submission
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Dania Ouhachi59%
Nick Garcia 41%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Dania Ouhachi a 59% favorite over Nick Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Dania Ouhachi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1479, a 19-point edge.

Nick Garcia 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.