Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barez vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram GymTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
50%
Strike accuracy
30%
5.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
50%
Strike defense
35%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
80%
Takedown defense
0%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel BarezPedro Nobre
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
6 (35%)
Submission
6 (27%)
4 (24%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barez62%
Pedro Nobre 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 62% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1587), separated by just 7 points.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.