Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barrera vs Josh Quinlan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarreraNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
71%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
28%
Strike defense
54%
1
Takedown avg.
0.34
8%
Takedown accuracy
11%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel BarreraJosh Quinlan
150015501600165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barrera52%
Josh Quinlan 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barrera a 52% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1546), separated by just 5 points.

Daniel Barrera enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.