Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barrera vs Jozef Wittner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Top Team Kosice

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarreraNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Jozef WittnerNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
71%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
28%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
8%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel BarreraJozef Wittner
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
1 (33%)
Submission
8 (50%)
1 (33%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner59%
Daniel Barrera 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 59% favorite over Daniel Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Barrera's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1544), separated by just 7 points.

Daniel Barrera enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jozef Wittner 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.