Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Gracie vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-4-1Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel GracieNow 1513
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel GracieKarl Albrektsson
15001550201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
4 (80%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Albrektsson52%
Daniel Gracie 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 52% favorite over Daniel Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Gracie's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1509), separated by just 4 points.

Daniel Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Gracie finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.