Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Gracie vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-4-1Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Daniel Gracie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel GracieNow 1513
If they win+17→ 1530
If they lose-15→ 1498
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel GracieTrevor Makengo
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo62%
Daniel Gracie 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 62% favorite over Daniel Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1513, a 18-point edge.

Daniel Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Gracie finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.