Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Kelly vs Mukhamed Berkhamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record17-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
70,5"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
Resilience Training CentreTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Mukhamed BerkhamovNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel KellyMukhamed Berkhamov
1700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
5 (38%)
Submission
9 (53%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamed Berkhamov70%
Daniel Kelly 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamed Berkhamov a 70% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1702), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Kelly finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamed Berkhamov 71%.

Mukhamed Berkhamov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.