Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Kelly vs Ray Cooper III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record25-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
70,5"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
Resilience Training CentreTeamLion of Judah

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Ray Cooper IIINow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel KellyRay Cooper III
17001750201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
16 (64%)
5 (38%)
Submission
7 (28%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Cooper III56%
Daniel Kelly 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Cooper III a 56% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1704), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ray Cooper III enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Kelly finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Ray Cooper III 92%.

Daniel Kelly and Ray Cooper III share 1 common opponent: Derek Brunson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Derek Brunson
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023