Daniel Lacerda vs Jose Maria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record41-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Daniel Lacerda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jose Maria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1521
If they lose-18→ 1489
If they win+27→ 1490
If they lose-21→ 1442
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel LacerdaJose Maria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Lacerda67%
Jose Maria 33%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 67% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Daniel Lacerda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1463, a 44-point edge.
Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jose Maria 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.