Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Roldan Sangcha-an

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record4-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

Daniel Lacerda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Roldan Sangcha-an carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+14→ 1521
If they lose-18→ 1489
Roldan Sangcha-anNow 1462
If they win+27→ 1489
If they lose-21→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
35%
Strike defense
52%
2.32
Takedown avg.
1.94
50%
Takedown accuracy
60%
0%
Takedown defense
69%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaRoldan Sangcha-an
1450150015502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
7 (58%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Lacerda64%
Roldan Sangcha-an 36%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 64% favorite over Roldan Sangcha-an in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Daniel Lacerda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1462, a 45-point edge.

Roldan Sangcha-an enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roldan Sangcha-an 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.