Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Vaughan Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record14-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamUTC Birmingham

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
Vaughan LeeNow 1507
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
35%
Strike defense
70%
2.32
Takedown avg.
0.81
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
72%
1.16
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaVaughan Lee
15001550201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
7 (58%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Lacerda61%
Vaughan Lee 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 61% favorite over Vaughan Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1507), separated by just 0 points.

Vaughan Lee enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vaughan Lee 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.